Patrick Mahomes didn’t have the greatest Week 14, with the Kansas City Chiefs dropping their second straight game after a controversial Kadarius Toney penalty. They will try to correct their course in the Week 15 odds with a road game against the lowly New England Patriots, who are the subject of rumors suggesting that they will move on from Bill Belichick by season’s end.
Can Mahomes & Co. get things back on track in what should be a projected blowout? Or will it be another week of pedestrian performances for this worrying Chiefs offense?Continue reading for analysis of the Patrick Mahomes odds in our free NFL picks and predictions for the Chiefs vs. Patriots Week 15 matchup on Sunday, December 17.
Patrick Mahomes’ struggles this year had flown a little under the radar over the course of the season simply because the Chiefs were still putting up wins. No one is going to question a 6-1 start, or even a slight stumble to either 7-2 or 8-3.
But after two primetime losses in a row that were paired with subpar offensive performances, the Chiefs’ offensive shortcomings have been under a massive magnifying glass. The Chiefs’ receivers are unreliable both in terms of generating separation and the simpler parts of the position (not dropping balls, lining up onsides, etc).
The lack of a go-to receiving option outside of Travis Kelce has forced Mahomes into making tighter and riskier throws, and the interceptions have come flowing in as a result. Mahomes’ 2.3% interception rate this year is the worst of his full-time starting career.
Despite that, his interception market continues to be priced like prime box score Mahomes. Despite now throwing 11 interceptions in 13 games, you can typically find him to throw an interception at near-even odds. There’s clearly a massive disconnect there, and we’ll continue to hammer it until that market corrects.
